Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.250309 1.538108 1.914044 2.459100 3.263110 4.469566 6.567869
2025-06-01 0.876045 1.180540 1.641530 2.450783 4.002819 7.377234 18.074099
2025-06-08 0.677510 0.960472 1.427190 2.352509 4.497507 10.952825 55.290183
2025-06-15 0.584393 0.864581 1.362407 2.467455 5.583206 19.731998 763.398956
2025-06-22 0.509026 0.775517 1.274520 2.479632 6.472510 34.273463 NaN
2025-06-29 0.446311 0.693847 1.174711 2.409772 7.058994 56.729513 NaN
2025-07-06 0.399905 0.632629 1.099488 2.367208 7.767700 106.792139 NaN
2025-07-13 0.379838 0.616601 1.115132 2.592380 10.378700 719.359838 NaN
2025-07-20 0.357107 0.591134 1.102627 2.728672 13.110850 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.331025 0.554825 1.055891 2.725321 14.990706 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.304603 0.514345 0.990786 2.624601 15.784337 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.288344 0.493032 0.969598 2.687928 19.127217 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.276048 0.479123 0.966219 2.835845 25.576957 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.260151 0.455584 0.932845 2.837246 30.203511 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.242550 0.426451 0.879168 2.717755 31.367052 NaN NaN
2025-09-07 0.234063 0.416688 0.877820 2.860252 44.091701 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.223110 0.400156 0.854084 2.875412 54.422803 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.210876 0.379562 0.815244 2.788886 58.865229 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.200539 0.362494 0.784488 2.736286 66.518159 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.197807 0.362844 0.806271 3.015608 135.420587 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.192834 0.357366 0.809116 3.185909 264.485716 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.185309 0.345068 0.788214 3.181712 386.148571 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.176486 0.328981 0.752909 3.055786 407.153839 NaN NaN